A look at the COVID data: Here is the March US data of daily new cases. It is better to look at that data rather than the total number of cases because the daily number tells you how you are doing now, information that takes a while to show up in the totals. Furthermore, the plot is on a logarithmic scale. On such a scale, exponential growth shows up as a straight line. The slope of the line tells the doubling time for new cases, how long it takes for the number of daily cases to double.
You can see that from March 1 to about March 21 the US new cases followed the straight line very well, with a doubling time of about 2.3 days. However, my daughter and I noticed early this week that that the new cases were now doubling only every 5-6 days. This is significant; today the US had about 19,000 new cases but if we had continued on last week's curve there would have been 73,000 new cases today! I think this is encouraging news. We're still on an apocalyptic trend, but it will take us twice as long to get there now!
Data from worldometers.info, updated April 3, 2020.
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